Tree rings tell climate stories that technology can’t

Satellite imagery, carbon dioxide measurements, and computer models all help scientists understand how climate and carbon dynamics are changing in the world’s forests. But the technology powering these high-tech data only stretches back about thirty years, limiting our picture of long-term change.

A new study in Nature Communications by scientists from the Harvard Forest, Columbia University, ETH Zürich, and elsewhere shows how information revealed by a new method of analyzing tree rings matches the story told by more high-tech equipment over the short-term. Because trees are long-lived, looking back in their rings with this new approach may add decades or even centuries to our understanding of carbon storage and climate change in forests.

To test whether tree rings are a good proxy for satellite and other data, the scientists examined ring samples from two widespread tree species — tulip poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera) and northern red oak (Quercus rubra) — growing in three climatically different regions of the eastern US.

By analyzing the carbon and oxygen molecules (stable isotopes) stored in the rings, they could compare the trees’ own picture of forest productivity to estimates derived from satellites. They found strong agreement each year, and over time.

The tree rings also revealed that the biggest changes in annual forest growth were linked to moisture availability, regardless of climate. “Our method showed that the productivity of a forest can be estimated using information from just five trees,” says Laia Andreu Hayles, an Associate Research Professor at the Tree-Ring Laboratory of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, and co-author of the new study. “The stable isotopes measured in tree rings are highly sensitive to tracking moisture.”

The team says the full power of this new method would rely on an expanded network of tree ring research. “When we put tree ring data to work in historical climate models, we find that the models are more powerful when more species are included,” says Neil Pederson, a Senior Ecologist at Harvard Forest and co-author of the new study. “I suspect this might also be the case when we use models to look forward, to future forest productivity and carbon storage.”

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Materials provided by Harvard University. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.

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Vaccination deniers gaining traction, NHS boss warns

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Health24.com | Expert panel says two back pain procedures may be useless

Injecting cement into broken vertebrae to stabilise an osteoporosis-related spinal fracture does little to reduce pain and disability, a new report says.

Two surgeries are used for these types of fractures: vertebroplasty, in which medical grade cement is injected into broken vertebrae to fuse the fragments together; and balloon kyphoplasty, where a balloon is inserted into a compressed area of spine to lift it and allow cement to be inserted before the balloon removal.

Comparison trials

But vertebroplasty provided no clearly significant benefit in pain control over placebo procedures in five randomised placebo-controlled trials, according to the report by an American Society for Bone and Mineral Research global task force of bone health experts.

It also said there is a lack of placebo-controlled trials for balloon kyphoplasty, and a small number of comparison trials found that kyphoplasty provided no more benefits than vertebroplasty.

The report was published in the Journal of Bone and Mineral Research.

Each year, about 750 000 Americans suffer compression fractures in their spine caused by osteoporosis. These fractures result in acute and chronic back pain, impaired mobility and disability.

The two types of surgery are aggressively marketed as “noninvasive” ways to get immediate relief from pain and as a way to avoid potential opioid addiction caused by narcotic painkillers.

The report’s message “for doctors and their patients suffering from painful spinal fractures is that procedures to stabilise spinal fractures should not be a first choice for treatment,” said report lead author Dr Peter Ebeling. He’s head of the Department of Medicine at Monash University in Australia.

No significant benefit

“While patients who had these surgeries may have had a short-term reduction in pain, we found that there was no significant benefit over the long term in improving pain, back-related disability and quality of life when compared with those who did not have the procedures,” Ebeling said in a journal news release.

But one back pain specialist noted there may still be a place for the procedures.

If a patient can’t move because of pain from a spinal fracture, bone cement might not be so bad, Dr Joshua Hirsch, from Massachusetts General Hospital, told the New York Times.

“You have a choice,” Hirsch told the newspaper. “Opiates and lying in bed with diminished activity, or a procedure that can mobilise patients and improve them.”

About 300 000 US patients underwent the procedures between 2006 and 2014, according to Medicare data. Of those, 73% had the more expensive balloon cement injection procedure.

Need for prevention

As the US population ages, the number of people having the procedures is expected to rise, but this “report makes it clear that these procedures are not a magic bullet,” said Dr Bart Clarke, president of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Health.

“Until now, doctors have been left to sift through the data on their own to determine whether these procedures can benefit their patients. This report coalesces all that information concisely and provides recommendations to guide them,” said Clarke, co-author of an accompanying editorial in the journal.

The task force report also emphasised the need for prevention. Patients who have had a first fracture of the hip or spine likely have osteoporosis and are likely to experience a second fracture. About 25% of older patients who have a hip fracture will have a second fracture within one year, as will around 20% of older patients who have a vertebral fracture.

But research shows that treatment rates for hip fracture patients are low and decreasing.

“Overall, prevention is critical and we need to get these high-risk patients on anti-osteoporosis drugs that have proven to reduce future fractures by as much as 70%,” Clarke said.

Image credit: iStock

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Paleontology: Diversification after mass extinction

A team led by Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet (LMU) in Munich paleontologist Adriana López-Arbarello has identified three hitherto unknown fossil fish species in the Swiss Alps, which provide new insights into the diversification of the genus Eosemionotus.

Monte San Giorgio in the Swiss canton of Ticino is one of the most important known sources of marine fossils from the Middle Triassic Period (around 240 million years ago). The new and exquisitely preserved fossil fish specimens, which Dr. Adriana López-Arbarello (a member of the Institute of Paleontology and Geobiology and of the Geobiocenter at LMU) has been studying in collaboration with colleagues based in Switzerland were also discovered in these dolomites and limestones. As the researchers now report in the online journal Palaeontologia Electronica, the specimens represent three previously unknown species of Eosemionotus, a genus of ray-finned fishes. “The largest episode of mass extinction in the history of the Earth took place about 250 million years ago,” as López-Arbarello explains. “Our finds now provide further evidence that after this catastrophic event, the biosphere recovered relatively fast and went through a period of rapid diversification and the emergence of numerous new species during the Middle Triassic.”

The first member of the genus Eosemionotus was discovered in the vicinity of Berlin in 1906, and was named E. vogeli. Almost a century later, in 2004, a second species was described from Monte San Giorgio as E. ceresiensis. Detailed anatomical studies of new material from this locality, carried out by López-Arbarello, have now enabled the recognition of three further species that can be assigned to same genus — E. diskosomus, E. sceltrichensis and E. minutus. All five species are small in size, but they can be clearly distinguished from each other on the basis of the relative proportions of their bodies, the position of the fins, the morphology of the skull, and the disposition of teeth and scales. “These differences indicate that each species was adapted to different ecological niches,” López-Arbarello concludes.

These findings provide new insights into the evolution of the genus. “Our phylogenetic analyses demonstrate that Eosemionotus is the oldest known member of an extinct family within the Order Semionotiformes. Although the Semionotiformes were a species-rich and highly diversified clade during the Mesozoic Era, the order died out in the Cretaceous. Only a few members of its sister group have survived down to the present day, and this ancient lineage is now represented by a single family, the gars,” says López-Arbarello.

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Materials provided by Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.

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Health24.com | Mom-to-be’s flu can harm her unborn baby

Pregnant women who get a flu shot protect not only themselves, but also their developing baby, health officials report.

When a mom-to-be gets the flu, she can be so sick she needs to be admitted to a hospital’s intensive care unit. And new research finds her baby then runs the risk of being born preterm, underweight and with a low “Apgar score” – a gauge of an infant’s overall health.

“The findings support the importance of pregnant women receiving the influenza vaccine, and of prompt treatment with antiviral medications for pregnant women suspected of having influenza,” said lead researcher Kim Newsome. She’s a health scientist at the National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities at the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Everyone aged 6 months and older should get a flu shot every year, the CDC recommends. That guideline is especially important for pregnant women, the very young, the very old and anybody with a chronic illness. These people are at a high risk for complications of the flu, according to the CDC.

Flu can range from mild to severe, but it’s especially risky for pregnant women. During pregnancy, women undergo changes to their immune system, heart and lungs that make them more prone to severe illness from flu throughout their pregnancy and in the two weeks following delivery, the agency warns.

Pandemic levels

For their research, Newsome and her colleagues studied 2009 data on 490 pregnant women with flu and nearly 1 500 pregnant women who did not get the flu that year.

In 2009, the H1N1 flu was at pandemic levels. About 60 million Americans came down with flu, as many as 400 000 were hospitalised, and up to 18 000 died, the CDC reported.

Last year, when the more virulent H3N2 virus was predominant, millions more got sick, nearly 1 million were hospitalised, and as many as 80 000 died, according to the CDC.

In 2009, pregnant women who were admitted to an intensive care unit for flu were more likely to deliver preterm infants, low birth weight infants and infants with low Apgar scores, compared with women who didn’t come down with influenza.

Women with the flu who weren’t hospitalised or were hospitalised but not admitted to the intensive care unit didn’t have significantly higher risks for any of the complications studied, the researchers said.

The report was published in January in the journal Birth Defects Research.

No-brainer

Dr Rahul Gupta is chief medical and health officer at the March of Dimes. “The rate of flu vaccination of women of childbearing age, and especially those in the first trimester [of pregnancy], is unacceptably low,” he said.

Although the vaccine isn’t 100% effective in preventing flu, people who are vaccinated and get the flu get a much milder case, Gupta noted.

“Getting the flu vaccine early in pregnancy is one of the most important things you can do for yourself as an expecting mom,” he said.

Gupta thinks that the anti-vaccine movement has created doubts about the safety of the flu vaccine during pregnancy.

“Despite the false data about vaccines’ link with autism, some are understandably cautious and may falsely believe that the vaccine can be harmful,” he said.

But getting sick with flu early in pregnancy makes it twice as likely to have a baby with birth defects of the brain, spine or heart, Gupta said.

Women who aren’t sure they should get a flu shot should have a discussion with a medical professional, he advised.

“Having a discussion with a health care provider is critical,” Gupta said. “That’s where you can get your questions answered and your doubts cleared.”

Getting vaccinated is one more thing you can do – like taking vitamins, eating right, exercising, and not drinking or smoking – to ensure the health of your baby, he explained.

“Here’s another proactive step you can take to protect your baby,” Gupta said of a flu shot. “To me, it’s really a no-brainer.

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Climate change is shifting productivity of fisheries worldwide

Fish provide a vital source of protein for over half the world’s population, with over 56 million people employed by or subsisting on fisheries. But climate change is beginning to disrupt the complex, interconnected systems that underpin this major source of food.

A team of scientists led by Christopher Free, a postdoctoral scholar at UC Santa Barbara’s Bren School of Environmental Science & Management, has published an investigation of how warming waters may affect the productivity of fisheries. The results appear in the journal Science.

The study looked at historical abundance data for 124 species in 38 regions, which represents roughly one-third of the reported global catch. The researchers compared this data to records of ocean temperature and found that 8 percent of populations were significantly negatively impacted by warming, while 4 percent saw positive impacts. Overall, though, the losses outweigh the gains.

“We were surprised how strongly fish populations around the world have already been affected by warming,” said Free, “and that, among the populations we studied, the climate ‘losers’ outweigh the climate ‘winners.'”

Region had the greatest influence on how fish responded to rising temperatures, according to the study. Species in the same region tended to respond in similar ways. Fishes in the same families also showed similarities in how they responded to changes. The researchers reasoned that related species would have similar traits and lifecycles, giving them similar strengths and vulnerabilities.

When examining how the availability of fish for food has changed from 1930 to 2010, the researchers saw the greatest losses in productivity in the Sea of Japan, North Sea, Iberian Coastal, Kuroshio Current and Celtic-Biscay Shelf ecoregions. On the other hand, the greatest gains occurred in the Labrador-Newfoundland region, Baltic Sea, Indian Ocean and Northeastern United States.

Although the changes in fisheries productivity have so far been small, there are vast regional discrepancies. For instance, East Asia has seen some of the largest warming-driven declines, with 15 to 35 percent reductions in fisheries productivity. “This means 15 to 35 percent less fish available for food and employment in a region with some of the fastest growing human populations in the world,” said Free. Mitigating the impacts of regional disparities will be a major challenge in the future.

These findings highlight the importance of accounting for the effects of climate change in fisheries management. This means coming up with new tools for assessing the size of fish populations, new strategies for setting catch limits that consider changing productivity, and new agreements for sharing catch between winning and losing regions, Free explained.

“Knowing exactly how fisheries will change under future warming is challenging, but we do know that failing to adapt to changing fisheries productivity will result in less food and fewer profits relative to today,” Free explained.

Preventing overfishing will be a critical part of addressing the threat that climate change poses to the world’s fisheries. “Overfishing presents a one-two punch,” said Free. It makes fish populations more vulnerable to warming, while warming hinders the recovery of overfished populations.

Free also stressed that ocean warming is just one of many processes affecting marine life and the industries that rely on it. Ocean acidification, falling oxygen levels and habitat loss will also impact marine life. More research is necessary to fully understand how climate change will affect fish populations and the livelihoods of people that depend on them.

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Materials provided by University of California – Santa Barbara. Original written by Harrison Tasoff. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.

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