Ear infections discovered in remains of humans living in Levant 15,000 years ago

Researchers at Tel Aviv University have discovered evidence of ear infections in the skull remains of humans living in the Levant some 15,000 years ago.

“Our research seeks to determine the impact of our environment on illnesses in different periods,” says lead author Dr. Hila May of the Department of Anatomy and Anthropology at TAU’s Sackler Faculty of Medicine and the Dan David Center for Human Evolution and Biohistory Research at the Faculty of Medicine, located at the Steinhardt Museum of Natural History. “Using advanced technologies and unique methods developed in our lab, we have been able to detect signs of prolonged inflammation in the middle ear.”

Dr. Katrina Floranova of the Dan David Center and Sackler Faculty of Medicine and Dr. Ilan Koren of the Sackler Faculty of Medicine also contributed to the study, which was published on March 25 in the International Journal of Osteoarchaeology.

The researchers found a decline in morbidity as a result of ear infections following the transition from hunting and gathering to farming because of changes in living conditions. But a peak in morbidity was observed in a sedentary population living about 6,000 years ago, in the Chalcolithic period.

Dr. May says the reason for this is twofold: social and environmental. “We know from archaeological excavations of this period, similar to preceding periods, that people lived in a communal area where all activities, from cooking to raising livestock, took place. As a result, the population density in the ‘home’ was high, hygiene was poor and they suffered from indoor air pollution. Two other factors known about this period — dietary change, the advent of dairy consumption; and climate change, a dip in temperature and a rise in rainfall — also contributed to the prevalence of ear infections.”

Until the advent of antibiotics in the 20th century, ear infections developed into chronic conditions. They could also lead to permanent loss of hearing or even death.

“Ear infections are still a very common childhood ailment, with over 50 percent of young children today still suffering from an ear infection at one point or another,” explains Dr. May. “The tubes that channel fluid from the middle ear to the pharynx are underdeveloped in young children, so fluids that accumulate in the ear ultimately cause inflammation.

“A prolonged ear infection would cause permanent damage to the bony wall of the middle ear, which is preserved into adulthood. So when we sought to investigate changes in communal health over time in our region, we chose to focus on ear infections, developing a special method for doing so,” she adds.

Scientists inserted a videoscope, a tiny camera mounted at the end of a flexible tube, through the skull’s ear canal to the middle ear to observe its bony walls. In addition, they scanned skull remains with a high-resolution micro-CT and examined the middle ear’s bony wall using a light microscope.

As living conditions improved, morbidity as a result of ear infections dropped, according to the study. “Houses were larger and featured several rooms, including separate areas for specific activities, i.e. the kitchen was set up in a separate room or outside, and livestock were kept in a separate area,” Dr. May says. “The change in lifestyle and climate is reflected in a decline in morbidity.

“Our study deals with the impact of the environment and social behavior on morbidity rates. To explore this, we examined a common disease that has accompanied humanity since inception — the ear infection,” Dr. May continues. “Understanding how diseases appear, spread and disappear throughout human history can help prevent and find solutions to contemporary illnesses. The study clearly points out risk factors and shows how lifestyle changes can affect the incidence of the disease.

“In both ear infections and COVID-19, social distancing and adherence to hygiene reduced the spread of infection, while close quarters and unhygienic living conditions saw infections spike,” Dr. May concludes.

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Misaligned Relationships, Rejection, Guilt, and Betrayal

One of my readers recently asked: How do you stay connected to loved ones who aren’t on a journey of curiosity and growth?

I’ll frame this more generally by addressing these question too:

  • How do you maintain relationships with incompatible people who expect you to stay connected?
  • How do you manage shifting relationships while on a journey of growth?
  • How do you deal with feelings of guilt arising from letting go of incompatible people?

To answer the first question, my answer is pretty simple. I really don’t.

If they reach out to me, I’ll be civil with them, but I don’t see the point of investing in such relationships. I’ve tried to invest in such relationships in the past and concluded that this wasn’t going to work. The compatible isn’t there. The mutual support isn’t there. The flow of energy isn’t there. So why continue to invest?

Sometimes people don’t like what I’m into. Or they see my pursuits as threatening. Or they try to talk me out of new explorations. If it becomes clear that I don’t have their support for being who I am and living the life I want to live, it’s equally clear that I shouldn’t continue to invest in such connections.

That was disappointing at first. My initial response was to play it cool and be aloof, even though I still valued such relationships on some level. But that wasn’t sustainable. It leads to clinginess and neediness and a host of other problems as well. It’s harder to feel good emotionally and stay motivated and disciplined when you lower your social standards.

In the long run, I concluded that it was perfectly fine for me to want and need strong, compatible connections with other people. I just had to find the right people. I had to let go, let go, let go, of connections that were unfulfilling and dissatisfying.

There really are a lot of intelligent, heart-aligned, growth-oriented people in the world. But you may not see this abundance if you get clingy with mismatches.

The more I leaned away from misaligned connections and surrendered to the fact that they would never become what I really wanted them to be, the more I allowed myself to mourn the disappointment. I accepted the feeling of loss. I let hope die in those cases – because it was false hope.

I leaned into trusting my feelings and intuition, which told me that compatibility really matters.

In my 20s I had some limited experiences being around growth-oriented people, and it was refreshing. I felt like my spirit was being fed by a nurturing energy source that it sorely needed. Those were peak experiences, but I so wanted them to become everyday, normal experiences. At the time I didn’t even see how that was possible though.

Fast forward to today, and I connect with growth-oriented people every day as a normal part of life. I’m married to such a person too. But because I didn’t start with this, I can still relate to what it’s like to think of this as too good to be true.

Where are all the non-growth connections now? They’re pretty much dead because I haven’t invested in them for so long. I don’t feel any energy flowing through them. There are relatives that I haven’t seen, talked to, or emailed in many years, even decades, for instance. I let those connections fade.

I realize that in some cultures this would be seen as crazy, cruel, or anti-social, or a betrayal of family values. But I’m actually very pro-social. I like people. I just want to invest in relationships where the compatibility is high, the mutual support is strong, and the flow of energy feels intuitively right. The results are better for all involved.

Compassionate Rejection

When I think about incompatible relationships that I let go of over the years, I don’t feel much resentment or disappointment. I tend to feel more gratitude towards them than anything else. I see those relationships as valuable learning experiences. They helped me better understand what matters to me in life. They helped me clarify my values. They helped me define my social boundaries. So I find it difficult to feel much negativity towards them. I mostly feel appreciation when I think about them, if I feel anything at all.

I think that’s because I really like my life today. I like the people in my life. They’re interesting, creative, weird, fun, and deep.

I think many of us are a little too resistant to rejection. Sometimes rejections are done more harshly than necessary, but the general practice remains important. To reject means to dismiss or refuse. It means to say no. Some rejection is necessary to sculpt our characters. We must say no to the misaligned, so we can invite and embrace what does feel aligned. Otherwise we become blurry, ill-defined blobs instead of self-realized human beings.

I sometimes think of my social life as a journey. This involves movement and travel. I see relationships as fluid and flexible. They come and go. Some people move further away while others move closer. Some relationships will be short-lived. Others will endure longer.

In the long run, everyone grows. Some grow more consciously and deliberately, while others grow reactively in response to changing events and circumstances. The coronavirus situation is a growth experience for all of us. Some have woven this change into their journeys consciously. Others are mostly reacting to what arises. But we will all grow from this one way or another.

I have friends that are not super growth-oriented, definitely more reactive than proactive, and we get along okay most of the time. But I don’t usually invest much in such relationships. I prefer connecting with people who are on conscious journeys. It’s fine if they’re not clear about where they’re heading, as long as they embrace the overall idea of investing in learning and growth.

But the stubborn stick-in-the-mud types who have fixed mindsets? Where are they in my life today? Most days they just aren’t part of my reality. I have to stretch to even identify them. I don’t see them in person. I don’t see them on Zoom calls. I don’t see them in my email inbox. At best I might overhear a conversation out in public that strikes me as very limiting or ignorant, but then it fades away as I move past it.

I think I don’t attract such people into my life because I don’t invest energy in thinking about them most of the time. And if I do think about them, I mostly feel that gentle flow of appreciation, but it’s really just a trickle of energy. I don’t have spikey feelings in this area most of the time.

Social Norms

I also feel that investing in incompatible relationships is irrational. I don’t see the logic in pouring my energy into a connection that isn’t working, even if the other person wants to and even if social norms tell me I’m supposed to. My life has gotten better by rejecting social norms that didn’t work for me, so I tend not to give them much weight. The social norms I grew up with were full of irrational baggage that I discarded, like going to church every Sunday. Some social norms can have positive effects, such as by making communication easier and fostering good teamwork, but you always have to be cautious of them when it comes to expectations that push against rationality.

Being loyal to social mismatches is just more baggage to release. It doesn’t matter if they’re relatives or long-term friends. A mismatch is a mismatch.

I don’t think I could have a good life by elevating loyalty to social norms above my own mind, heart, and intuition. I trust my own thinking, my own feelings, and my own path with a heart way more than what society tells me or what relatives expect of me. My relatives can live their lives how they see fit, but I won’t invest in relationships that don’t feel aligned to me.

Guilt

When people conclude that I’m incompatible with them and want to move away from me, I let them go. I prefer not to chase after them and get whiny about it. I trust them to make their own decisions, and if they aren’t feeling the connection, who am I to question them about that?

Since I hold myself to this standard, I don’t feel guilty if someone else reacts negatively to my moving on. They can process those feelings how they see fit. I may feel some compassion for how their frames may be making a transition difficult for them, but I’m not going to wallow in their self-pity if they go that route. Otherwise I’d open myself up to emotional manipulation.

Other people don’t get to use their feelings to manipulate me. I will let them wallow in the pit of despair for as long as they want, but I won’t join them there.

I frame this as an issue of maintaining rational social investment standards, maintaining rational boundaries, and trusting my mind, heart, and intuition. I don’t give power to social norms. I don’t give power to other people’s reactions. And I don’t succumb to guilt because I’m doing what I feel is best.

I could feel guilty if I felt I violated my standards, especially in a way that caused someone harm. I can’t feel guilty for violating someone else’s standards – especially standards that I disagree with.

So if someone else holds that standard that I must behave in a way that feels misaligned to me in order for them to feel okay, that’s on them. They can expect that I will violate their standards to follow my path with a heart.

This happens, even with people I don’t know well. When I got into exploring open relationships, about 11 years ago, some of my blog readers felt betrayed. Some felt betrayed when Erin and I broke up. This year some felt betrayed when I shared my feelings about Trump. Some even felt betrayed when I stopped having Google Adsense ads on my site in 2008, calling me crazy for abandoning the business model they sought to emulate.

Do you think I felt guilty about any of this? Of course not. That’s because I was exploring and expressing what feels aligned to me. I could feel guilty if I violate my own standards, especially if I cause harm to someone else by doing so. But I can’t feel guilty if I honor my standards, even if someone else feels that I violated their expectations.

Betrayal

Now watch this: After trying out Instagram for a while, I’ve mostly stopped using it because I find it boring, stupid, and pointless. It’s just a dreadful match for me. Let’s see which avid IGers feel betrayed now…

For those who love Instagram, I’m happy for them. They should be free to post all the cat pics and yoga poses they want, with a proper handstand pic being the ultimate lifetime achievement. I love writing though, and IG is pure shit for that. It’s not a good platform for me at all. Does anyone really need to feel betrayed by my making a choice that’s right for me? Of course not, but some will anyway.

People are going to feel betrayed repeatedly if you live consciously and make your own choices. They’ll expect things of you that are unreasonable and irrational. They’ll have emotional reactions based on your decisions. I suggest that you let them. It’s not a problem per se unless you make it a problem. Just accept it as a normal part of life.

Do NOT under any circumstances let someone dig their emotional hooks into you and manipulate you emotionally. That will hold you back tremendously. In fact, this is one of the most problematic issues that many of my readers struggle with. They fall into the trap of turning against their own inner guidance and let someone else control them through emotional manipulation. Beware this trap – it’s nasty. It can suck years of your life away if you’re not careful.

Let people process their reactive feelings, even if they make a big, wild stink about how difficult it will be for them. Don’t frame their reactive feelings as your doing some kind of harm to them. Their own irrational frames and expectations are causing these reactions. Give them the gift of allowing them to process their reactions. With luck it will lead to their upgrading their frames and accepting your freedom to make aligned choices for you.

Self-Harm Threats

What if someone really goes over the top with their emotional manipulation, such as by threatening to hurt or kill themselves because you don’t play by their rules? If someone did that to me, I’d probably get really pissed at them. I might cuss them out for even suggesting that. I wouldn’t change my course though. If they hurt or kill themselves, that’s on them. I still don’t see myself feeling guilty about it, although I’d probably be very disappointed in their irrational behavior if they went that far. But in the end, I would let them go.

This has actually happen to me personally, and it has happened to people I know. Someone I knew once threatened to kill himself because I took a course of action he strongly disagreed with and which negatively affected him. He owned a gun, so I took it seriously. This was years before I started blogging by the way. I didn’t back down though. I felt disgusted by the very notion that someone would do that, but I saw it as his choice. I knew I was making the right decision, and that is how it turned out in the end. He recovered, and I think it was better for him all around too. The relationship wasn’t working for either of us, and we had to move on from it. The fact that he threatened suicide actually just made me more certain that moving on was the right choice.

If this sort of thing were to happen again today, I’d frame it as a test from reality. I’d frame it as a character sculpting challenge too. I’d take the threat seriously, even if I didn’t believe that the person would go through with it. But I would still refuse to be emotionally manipulated, even if it meant someone else reactively taking their own life.

My ex-wife Erin had to endure an even more serious test when her abusive boyfriend not only threatened to kill her but also her whole family if she ever left him. And she still ended up leaving. Many years later that guy shot himself dead with a shotgun in a standoff with police, who were actually just coming to his house to do a suicide check because he made an offhand comment about potentially harming himself to a coworker, who called it in.

You can frame such situations however you see fit, and depending on the severity of the threat, I wouldn’t fault you for backing down if the stakes seem too big to handle. But most situations that my readers deal with are a lot milder, and they blow them up into big hurdles. So if you’re dealing with less than a mass murder threat, perhaps take a hard look at how you’re handling this situation. Are you behaving rationally? Are you really listening to yourself? What will it do to your character to let someone else emotionally manipulate you for years and years?

Guilt also heals. Even if you do feel guilty, you’ll probably get past it eventually. How long do you think the guilt will really last? How long will the emotional manipulation last if you don’t move on?

If you betray someone’s expectations of you, you can let them have their reaction and not feel guilty about it. This may take some practice and some rational framing upgrades, but you can do it.

But don’t betray your own inner guidance. Don’t betray your own rational intelligence. Don’t betray your path with a heart. If you aren’t feeling guilty about self-betrayal, maybe you should listen to your feelings more closely.

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A bio-inspired addition to concrete stops the damage caused by freezing and thawing

Concrete is one of the most abundant and durable building materials used in modern-day infrastructures, but it has a weakness — ice — which can cause it to crumble and spall. Now, inspired by organisms that survive in sub-zero environments, researchers in Colorado are introducing polymer molecules with anti-freezing abilities into concrete. The method, which tests if the new concrete can stop the damage caused by freezing and thawing, appears in the journal Cell Reports Physical Science on May 27.

Concrete is a porous material with capillary pores that allow water to permeate into the material. For places that experience large temperature swings, concrete roads and buildings go through “freeze-thaw cycles.” The water freezes and expands inside of the material, building up pressure as the ice crystals grow, eventually popping the surface of the concrete off. The polyethylene glycol-graft-polyvinyl alcohol (PEG-PVA) molecules that the researchers have identified appear to keep the ice crystals small and prevent them from coalescing into larger crystals.

“We’re particularly excited because this represents a departure away from more than 70 years of conventional concrete technology,” says senior author Wil Srubar, who heads the Living Materials Laboratory at the University of Colorado Boulder. “In our view, it’s a quantum leap in the right direction and opens the door for brand new admixture technologies.”

For over 70 years, the primary way to mitigate freeze-thaw damage was to put in tiny air bubbles that act as pressure release valves inside of the concrete, known as air-entraining admixtures. But putting tiny air bubbles into the concrete not only lowers the strength of the material but also makes it more porous, acting like a superhighway for more water and other harmful substances, like salts, to enter. Instead of tackling the symptoms of ice expansions, the team decided to target the source: ice crystal growth.

Found in organisms that survive in sub-zero environments, anti-freeze proteins bind to ice crystals to inhibit their growth that would otherwise be fatal to the organisms. Inspired by the protein, the team introduced polymer molecules that mimicked the protein’s properties to the concrete mix. The molecules effectively reduced the size of ice crystals by 90 percent. The new concrete mix also withstood 300 freeze-thaw cycles and maintained its strength.

Although the new concrete passed industry-standard tests, there are still questions about the true long-term resilience of the material in a real-world application and its economic viability. The next step for the team is to optimize their method by identifying new molecules that are more cost-effective and testing the compatibility of the molecule with different recipes of concrete. “Making concrete is a lot like baking a cake,” says Srubar, hoping that concrete recipes can benefit from the new additive.

“For the next 30 years, the world will be building a New York City every 35 days, which is astounding,” says Srubar. “What that means is that we’re going to be building a lot of buildings and roads, and we’re going to be using a lot of concrete. Because it has significant impacts on the environment, the concrete that we do make really does have to be as sustainable as possible and as durable as it can be.”

Story Source:

Materials provided by Cell Press. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.

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Physicists measure a short-lived radioactive molecule for first time

Researchers at MIT and elsewhere have combined the power of a super collider with techniques of laser spectroscopy to precisely measure a short-lived radioactive molecule, radium monofluoride, for the first time.

Precision studies of radioactive molecules open up possibilities for scientists to search for new physics beyond the Standard Model, such as phenomena that violate certain fundamental symmetries in nature, and to look for signs of dark matter. The team’s experimental technique could also be used to perform laboratory studies of radioactive molecules produced in astrophysical processes.

“Our results pave the way to high-precision studies of short-lived radioactive molecules, which could offer a new and unique laboratory for research in fundamental physics and other fields,” says the study’s lead author, Ronald Fernando Garcia Ruiz, assistant professor of physics at MIT.

Garcia Ruiz’ colleagues include Alex Brinson, an MIT graduate student, along with an international team of researchers working at CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research, in Geneva. The results are published today in the journal Nature.

Reversing time

The simplest molecule is made from two atoms, each with a nucleus comprising a certain number of protons and neutrons that make one atom heavier than the other. Each nucleus is surrounded by a cloud of electrons. In the presence of an electric field, these electrons can be redistributed to create an extremely large electric field within the molecule.

Physicists have used molecules and their electric fields as miniature laboratories to study the fundamental properties of electrons and other subatomic particles. For instance, when a bound electron interacts with the molecule’s electric field, its energy can change as a result, which scientists can measure to infer the electron’s properties, such as its electrostatic dipole moment, which provides a measurement of its deviation from a spherical shape.

According to the Standard Model of particle physics, elementary particles should be roughly spherical, or have a negligible electrostatic dipole moment. If, however, a permanent electric dipole moment of a particle or a system exists , this would imply that certain processes in nature are not as symmetrical as physicists had assumed.

For instance, physicists believe that most fundamental laws of physics should remain unchanged with the direction of time — a principle known as time reversal symmetry. That is, regardless of whether time runs forward or backward, gravity, for example, should cause a ball to fall off a cliff, or roll back up, along the same path in velocity and space. If, however, an electron is not perfectly spherical, this would indicate that time reversal symmetry is violate. This violation would provide a much-needed condition for explaining why there is more matter than antimatter in our universe.

By studying an electron’s interactions with very strong electric fields, scientists might have a chance of precisely measuring their electric dipole moments. In certain molecules, the heavier their atoms, the stronger their internal electric field. Radioactive molecules — those containing at least one unstable nuclei — can be tailored to maximize their internal electric fields. Moreover, heavy radioactive nuclei can have pear-like shapes, which can amplify their symmetry-violating properties.

Because of their high electric fields and unique nuclear shapes, radioactive molecules would make natural laboratories in which to probe not only the electron’s structure, but also symmetry-violating nuclear properties. But these molecules are short-lived, and scientists have been unable to pin them down .

“These radioactive molecules are very rare in nature and some of them cannot be found in our planet, but can be abundant in astrophysical processes such as stellar explosions, or neutron star mergers,” Garcia Ruiz says. “So we have to make them artificially, and the main challenges have been that they can only be produced in small quantities at high temperatures, and can be very short-lived.”

A needle in the dark

The team looked for a way to make radium monoflouride, or RaF — a radioactive molecule that contains a very heavy, unstable radium atom, and a fluoride atom. This molecule is of particular interest because certain isotopes of the radium nucleus are themselves asymmetrical, resembling a pear, with more mass on one end of the nucleus than the other.

What’s more, theorists had predicted that the energy structure of radium monofluoride would make the molecule amenable to laser cooling, a technique that uses lasers to bring down the temperature of molecules, and slow them down enough to perform precision studies. While most molecules have many energy states they can occupy, with large numbers of vibrational and rotational states, it turns out that radium monofluoride favors electronic transitions between a few main energy levels — an unusually simple molecule to control, using laser cooling.

The team was able to measure molecules of RaF by first making small quantities of the molecule using CERN’s Isotope mass Separator On-Line, or ISOLDE facility at CERN, which they then manipulated and studied with lasers using the Collinear Resonance Ionization Spectroscopy (CRIS) experiment.

In their experiment, the researchers utilized CERN’s Proton Synchrotron Booster, a series of rings that receives protons from a particle accelerator and accelerates the protons. The team fired these protons at a target made of uranium carbide, at such high energies that the onslaught destroyed uranium, producing a shower of protons and neutrons that mixed to form a mix of radioactive nuclei, including radium.

The researchers then injected a gas of carbon tetrafluoride, which reacted with radium to make charged, or ionic molecules of radium monofluoride, which they separated from the rest of uranium’s byproducts through a system of mass-separating magnets. They then pinned down the molecules in an ion trap and surrounded them with helium gas, which cooled the molecules down enough for the researchers to measure them.

Next, the team measured the molecules by reaccelerating and passing them through the CRIS setup, where the ionic molecules interacted with sodium atoms that gave an electron to each molecule to neutralize the beam of molecules in flight. The neutral molecules then continued through an interaction region, where the researchers also shone two laser beams — one red, the other blue.

The team tuned the red laser’s frequency up and down, and found that at certain wavelengths the laser resonated with the molecules, exciting an electron in the molecule to another energy level, such that the blue laser then had enough energy to remove the electron from the molecule. The resonantly excited molecules, made ionic again, were deflected and collected onto a particle detector, allowing the researchers to measure, for the first time, their energy levels, and the associated molecular properties which demonstrate that the structure of these molecules is indeed favorable for laser cooling.

“Previous to our measurements, all the energy levels of these molecules were unknown,” Garcia Ruiz says. “This has been like trying to find a needle in a dark room, many hundreds of meters wide. Now that we’ve found the needle, we can measure the properties of that needle and start playing with it.”

This work was supported by the European Research Council, DFG German Research Foundation, STFC and Ernest Rutherford, the FWO-Vlaanderen, BriX IAP Research Program ENSAR2, the Russian Science Foundation, and the BMBF. A. Brinson was supported by a Henry W. Kendall (1955) Fellowship.

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Coronavirus: Schools and workplaces could see ‘local lockdowns’

Restrictions could be introduced if there is a local flare-up of coronavirus, a minister says.

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Health24.com | Some countries seeing fewer flu cases due to coronavirus lockdown measures, research shows

Influenza, also known as the flu, is one of the most common viral diseases in the world. It, however, took a backseat when the new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, rapidly took over earlier this year.

Now, new research, published in BMJ, shows that governments’ implementation of lockdowns and physical distancing measures, in an effort to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2, have shortened the flu season – by up to six weeks, and that tracking infectious disease cases “could be a complementary approach to assessing the effectiveness of general infection control measures against Covid-19”.

Flu viruses circulate worldwide at different times of the year. Seasonal flu usually peaks in February and dies down by the end of May in the northern hemisphere, and runs from April to September in the southern hemisphere, often peaking during August.

Death by flu: a global perspective

Statistics from the World Health Organization (WHO) indicate that the seasonal flu typically kills around 290 000 to 650 000 people annually and causes as many as five million cases of severe illness. According to Nature, the 2020 flu season was set to be the most severe in decades, until Covid-19 crossed borders and was declared a pandemic.

In South Africa, flu kills between 6 000 and 11 000 people each year, according to the Department of Health. So, if flu seasons are shortened around the world, it could mean that more lives are spared.

Lab-confirmed cases from this year so far reveal that the incidence of flu dropped steeply in early April in the northern half of the world. This was revealed just a few weeks before the new coronavirus was declared a pandemic on 11 March. The data came from FluNet, a global surveillance system, and included tests of more than 150 000 samples from national influenza laboratories in 71 countries. 

Business Insider reported in March that at least 20% of the global population was on lockdown, with South Africa, India, China, France, and Italy, among others, having the world’s most restrictive quarantines. By the end of March, more than 100 countries worldwide had instituted either a full or partial lockdown, the BBC notes.

On the other hand, an article in Nature points out that, looking at the total number of lives lost to Covid-19 and other diseases in 2020, it’s hardly a rosy picture that emerges. 

The case with other infectious diseases

A number of other infectious diseases such as chickenpox, measles and rubella were also positively impacted so far in Hong Kong this year, the study’s co-author, infectious-disease researcher Pak-leung Ho at the University of Hong Kong, told Nature, with measles and rubella being at their lowest, globally, since 2016. Ho explained that the closure of schools during lockdown could have been the reason behind this, as these diseases typically affect children, adding that this “may have had the biggest impact”.

By contrast, there are other infectious diseases, such as tuberculosis (TB), that are likely to see an upsurge in cases, as programmes to fight the disease have been cast aside since the Covid-19 outbreak. TB is ranked as the ninth leading cause of death worldwide.

A recent release of modelling on the impacts of the initial Covid-19 response on TB revealed an estimation that, globally, a three-month lockdown and a protracted 10-month restoration could lead to an additional 6.3 million people falling ill with TB and an additional 1.4 million TB deaths over the next five years, Health24 reported. According to the latest statistics by WHO, TB caused around 63 000 deaths in South Africa in 2018 (figures for 2019 are not yet available). 

Tracking ILI cases

Of course, the reported decline in flu cases may also be due to people with flu-like symptoms simply avoiding health clinics during this time, and self-isolating at home instead. But tracking the number of flu cases and other influenza-like illnesses (ILI), can, however, help shed light on the effectiveness of public health policies aimed at containing the Covid-19 pandemic, the authors of the paper note. This recommendation comes after the team looked at the epidemic response in Hong Kong, whose 2019–2020 flu season was 63% shorter than those of the previous five years. Lab-confirmed flu deaths showed that the number was 62% lower.

In their paper, they explain, based on the statistics, the key infection control strategies undertaken in the country against Covid-19 – case identification and isolation, quarantine, physical distancing, and mass wearing of masks – provide evidence that surveillance of these diseases can provide crucial information about the impact of general infection control measures.

“By monitoring the transmission patterns of ILI, we can approximate the overall performance of a population’s general infection control measures, including enhancement of personal and environmental hygiene and physical distancing,” the authors wrote.

WHO also told Nature: “Public-health measures such as movement restrictions, social distancing and increased personal hygiene likely had an effect on decreasing influenza and other respiratory virus transmission.”

Covid-19, which started as a local outbreak in China and quickly led to a pandemic, has infected over 5.4 million and caused more than 346 000 deaths worldwide – as of 26 May 2020.

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Hairdressers say they are ready to open in June

Salons are asking the government to let them open before July to cut hair.

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Health24.com | Covid-19: The plight of gogo Nobude and other old persons living in townships

The tiny passageway leading to gogo Nobude Ngqola’s shack in the densely populated TR Informal Settlement in Site B, Khayelitsha is difficult to navigate. Washing hanging from fences and shacks built metres from each other makes it difficult to move freely. Despite the warnings about physical distancing, women sit in groups in the shade busy with laundry. They are not wearing masks. It’s an unseasonably hot day for May.  

We talk inside the tiny three-room shack that the 82-year-old gogo shares with her eight children and grandchildren. Seated on a worn-out sofa sipping tea, Ngqola says she has been terrified to leave her shack ever since she first heard news of the spread of Covid-19.

On 24 May, the Western Cape government reported that there have been a total of 1 853 confirmed Covid-19 cases in Khayelitsha – a number that is greater than that in some of South Africa’s provinces.

Leaky shack

It may be sunny outside today,  but Ngqola’s  daughter, Nomawesile Adonis (39), says when it rains things can get bad very quickly. Winter is not the best time for Ngqola and her family. “Water pours through the gaps and turns the shack into a mud pool,” she says pointing at the holes in the roof. 

To keep warm during winter, the family often relies on an imbawula (a makeshift fireplace/coal stove), but when a neighbour got burnt and killed by an imbawula, the children decided to buy a paraffin heater. “But many of our neighbours still rely on an imbawula to stay warm despite all its dangers,” says Adonis. “We are just hoping that our long wait to get a house can come to an end soon,” she says.

Ngqola says “back in her day” there were no deadly diseases like Covid-19. “We only heard tales from our grandparents about a deadly flu disease that claimed many lives some years ago,” she recalls. “I have gathered a lot of information on the radio about this virus. I always cover myself with my scarf whenever I sneeze. Fortunately, I am always alone in my bed.” 

Ngqola recalls how she arrived in Khayelitsha in 1987 from the Eastern Cape in search of greener pastures. “I found a job as a domestic worker. Despite the little money I earned I managed to save some and bought material to build my own shack,” she says. Now, 33 years later and still living in an informal settlement where there are limited basic services, Ngqola has to share an outside tap and toilet with dozens of her neighbours.

She recalls attending several rallies in Khayelitsha prior to the elections in 1994, where politicians promised houses for the poor. “I registered together with many others in the hope that I would move into a new house soon. But a number of years passed without getting any house,” says Ngqola.

Now aged 82, frail and battling diabetes, Ngqola tells Spotlight her only wish is to finally get keys to a new house before she dies. With the Covid-19 pandemic ravaging the Western Cape, Ngqola lives in constant fear of contracting the disease, mostly because her living arrangements are particularly dire for someone her age.

‘Mission Impossible’

Ngqola’s fears are not misplaced. People over the age of 80 years and those with chronic diseases have been shown to be most vulnerable to Covid-19. Dr Tom Boyles, an Infectious Diseases specialist at Helen Joseph Hospital in Johannesburg, recently raised concerns about the effect of the deadly virus on the poor. “If and when there is significant community transmission in SA, I think people living in informal settlements will be at the greatest risk of infection because they will find the preventative measures [physical distancing, hand washing] more difficult to adhere to,” Boyles was quoted as saying.

The People’s Health Movement (PHMSA) has been calling on government to fix the social determinants of health that include decent housing, access to clean water and sanitation and good nutrition.

While the Covid-19 lockdown regulations state that people should stay at home and practice physical distancing, Ngqola says where she lives, is a “mission impossible”. Sharing an outside toilet and tap with dozens of other shack dwellers puts her at high risk.

“I often listen to the radio and hear them say we must practice physical distancing. How do you do that in an environment like this? This Corona is going to claim many lives in informal settlements. I know I am old and sickly and can die anytime. But I’m just worried – more about my children,” she says.

With winter approaching Ngqola’s daughter is also worried.

“Winter in Cape Town means shack fire season. Our biggest concern is what will happen to her in case of a shack fire. Her legs are failing her, and someone has to help her to the outside toilet. But we always have someone with her in the shack in case of an emergency,” she says.

Adonis says winter also means shacks are flooded during heavy rains. They have to mop up water whenever there is flooding, she says. Ever since the outbreak of Covid-19, Ngqola’s children have ensured that they keep their distance and wear masks whenever they serve her porridge or help her go to the outside toilet. 

But it is difficult.

‘No elderly person deserves to live like this.’

Adonis, who works as a domestic worker, knows the high risks of Covid-19 and says she always buys sanitiser for her mother and siblings. They are however grateful for the food donations they regularly receive from neighbours during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Recently Ngqola was also among 10 families who benefited from food parcels donated by local football stars Mark Mayambela and Ayanda Patosi who both grew up in Khayelitsha.

“No elderly person deserves to live like this. I just can’t imagine how she has managed to survive all these years. We will definitely return and see what we can do to improve her situation. With winter approaching, something needs to be done to repair the leaking roof. But she needs a house as a matter of urgency,” Mayambela said.

Umelwane (neighbourhood friend)

Ishrene Davids from the organisation Ikamva Labantu tells Spotlight that for an older person like Gogo Nobude who is frail, accessing help can be nearly impossible.

Davids says their home-based model provides an essential safety net to support both frail older persons and their caregivers in township communities. “Our fieldworkers walk door-to-door throughout Cape Town’s townships, searching for senior citizens in need of support,” says Davids.

They refer to these fieldworkers Umelwane, which means “neighbourhood friend” in isiXhosa. “These clubs follow a stimulating programme which includes education around healthy living practices, creative activities (beading, choir practice, sewing etc.), social entrepreneurship, as well as eating breakfast and lunch together every day. Importantly, they are able to be among their peers in a social environment, away from the stress and isolation of their homes. Our senior participants also have access to the emotional and physical support that our field workers provide,” she says.

The organisation operates 21 Ikamva Labantu Seniors Clubs around Cape Town’s township neighbourhoods but had to stop on 17 March 2020 as a precautionary measure to ensure physical distancing.

Government responds

When approached for comment on what the department is doing to safeguard older people like Ngqola in township communities, Mark Van Der Heever, spokesperson for the Department of Health in the Western Cape referred Spotlight to the Western Cape Department of Social Development.

During a media briefing this week, however, Dr Keith Cloete, Head of the Western Cape Department of Health, said Khayelitsha is among the hotspot areas the department is prioritising. Cloete said part of the department’s refined strategy is to focus and streamline testing and screening on “high-risk groups such as health workers and the vulnerable people”. Those older than 55 with comorbidities like diabetes are deemed “vulnerable”.

Spokesperson for the MEC for Social Development, Joshua Chigome, said there are facilities such as old-age homes where the sick and elderly are accommodated but a decision is taken by the family of the elderly whether they want their loved one to be taken to an old-age home. “Most families prefer to take care of their elderly themselves. We are unfortunately unable to decide for them if their granny needs to be taken into one of the facilities that we provide as the department,” he said.

Chigome said that if the elderly people, like Gogo Nobude, show symptoms of the Covid-19 they should “immediately go to the clinic and get tested” He said older persons in communities that are not living in care facilities are targeted and exposed to the same messaging and campaigns aimed at all citizens by the media. 

Khayelitsha Development Forum (KDF) chairperson Ndithini Tyhido told Spotlight the Covid-19 lockdown period has left many elderly shack dwellers high and dry.

“The sad part is that these are people who are at high risk of contracting the coronavirus. Our call to government is that they should prioritise densely populated informal settlements by providing free sanitisers and masks,” he said.

Meanwhile, ward councillor Lulekwa Jali said they are aware of Ngqola’s plight and her matter was forwarded to authorities for urgent intervention. “We’ve engaged with relevant authorities in the City (local government) and they agree that something needs to be done to assist her. It is painful to see an elderly woman living under such poor conditions,” she said. 

This article was produced by SPOTLIGHT – health journalism in the public interest. SIGN UP for our newsletter.

Image credit: Siyabonga Kamnqa, Spotlight

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Health24.com | Doctors blow whistle on medicines crisis in North West

While department of health officials in the North West debate what defines a “crisis” of essential medicine supplies, *Tendai is panicking. Two weeks of going without drugs for her thyroid condition and her debilitating symptoms are back.Tendai is a patient at Klerksdorp/Tshepong hospital.

In January this year, her loss of appetite, swollen feet, shakes and constant thirst led her to seek help at the hospital. She was diagnosed and prescribed medicines for long-term treatment for her overactive thyroid. “The medicines helped me so much and all my symptoms stopped,” she says.

Since January she’s made monthly trips to the hospital to pick up her two medicines, paying R40 each time. But in the middle of April, her usual hospital visit ended with a nightmare of worry. The pharmacy could only dispense one of her drugs. “They gave me a piece of paper and told me to phone first to check before coming to the hospital because they didn’t know when they would have the medicine. I have been phoning every day and now it’s been two weeks,” she says.

Tendai tried to source Carbimazole at private pharmacies. For 100 tablets she says the price is around R800 and she needs 350 tablets a month of this drug. She cannot afford it. “I’m hurt and my symptoms are back. I don’t know what I can do; only to watch myself die,” she says. Doctors say that her condition can become so severe it can weaken her heart and threaten her life. 

Numerous drug shortages

Tendai is one of dozens of patients whose lives are at risk as various medicines on the province’s essential drugs list (EDL) are not available. Physicians at Klerksdorp/Tshepong Hospital and Rustenburg Hospital who spoke to Spotlight believe that the province currently only has about 40 to 50% of the items on the EDL. One doctor at Rustenburg Hospital says it should never drop below 75%. “It means I know I can’t do the best for my patients. It’s very demoralising for the staff,” the doctor says.  

Among the drug shortages they say are painkillers, Vitamin B12, calcium tablets, iron tablets, the flu vaccine, urine test sticks, antibiotics and drugs to treat hypertension, diabetes, epilepsy, psychiatric conditions, cryptococcal meningitis, epilepsy and pneumonia. Drugs used for sedating and paralysing patients for intubation in intensive care are also not available. 

Doctors have flagged these problems for at least two years and they say the shortages have occurred intermittently for the past few years. In 2018 the province’s medicines depot in Mahikeng was at the centre of a go-slow that severely compromised healthcare services in the province that year. Since then Spotlight understands the depot has run sub-optimally.

There have been problems with staff being suspended, staff shortages, alleged incompetence and maladministration. Suppliers have gone unpaid, leading to terminated service agreements. Other companies that won tenders could not meet obligations but have not been penalised or forced to pay back monies. An accrual system now means new budgets are used to pay old debts, inevitably leaving shortfalls towards the end of each financial year. 

‘Our duty to say when things are not right’

Doctors who spoke to Spotlight asked not to be identified for fear of being singled out as “troublemakers” and “complainers”. There is also a fear that being identified will make them easy targets for officials who would rather go after them than addressing the problems. But the four doctors who spoke to Spotlight say they “cannot in good conscience remain silent”. They say they have followed all the official channels to raise their concerns. 

“After Life Esidemeni (the tragedy in 2016 when 144 mental health patients died when the Gauteng Department of Health moved about 1 700 mental health patients from Life Esidemeni facilities to unsuitable facilities) the ombudsman criticised doctors for not speaking out. It set a precedent and it should be our duty to say when things are not right and we know our patients are being turned away at the pharmacy windows,” one doctor says.

Impact on healthcare services

A doctor at Tshepong Hospital tells of how they must delay discharging patients so they can receive life-saving drugs intravenously. “Administering drugs intravenously comes with hospital stays of about R2 700 a day instead of sending people home with medicines. It’s a case of being penny-wise and pound-foolish,” the doctor says. 

“I also have no doubt that we will see HIV patients returning to hospital with meningitis because we are not able to give them Flucanozole, which is an anti-fungal treatment that fights opportunistic diseases in HIV-positive people,” the doctor says. “It’s the same with urine testing – because there are no urine test strips that we use to pick up blood, proteins or infection, doctors have to order expensive blood tests instead. It comes with high costs and delay, so there are infections that are not getting picked up early.” 

Another doctor says that for some conditions there just aren’t alternative medicines and often switching drugs means having to re-stabilise patients on a new drug regime. Some pharmacists are already resorting to dispensing smaller quantities of drugs to patients and asking them to return more frequently in the hope stocks will be replenished by their next visit. Sometimes, like in Tendai’s case, they have nothing at all to give their patients. 

Before South Africa’s Covid-19 Lockdown, patients from Rustenburg Hospital often turned to sourcing medicines at public facilities in Pretoria or Johannesburg. That avenue has been cut off with travel across provincial borders having been restricted. One doctor says that Covid-19 preparations and the procurement of personal protective equipment have come at the expense of pharmacy staff having capacity to maintain stock of items on the EDL in the province. “We know that without the drugs we need in ICU we will not be able to cope if our Covid-19 cases spike,” another doctor says. 

Government response

Polaki Mokatsane, Deputy Director General (DDG) for health in the North West, acknowledges that there are long-standing systemic problems but believes that they are getting things back on track. Mokatsane says with the new financial year having started in April, he expects all debts to suppliers to be settled by the end of this month (May) so contracts and supplies can resume. However, he confirms a huge backlog of having to process individual invoices. “Four staff members were suspended at the end of last year and we did have HR issues. But we now have two staffers who I believe can get us to where we want to be. The problem is that there wasn’t proper forecasting with some of our drugs and that’s why we ran out of stock,” he says. 

He adds that they have focused on improving communication with hospitals, improved buying-out options for emergency supplies and to widen the networks of sourcing medicines across facilities in the province. “If you ask me if we have a crisis with supplies of essential drugs, I will say no, we only have challenges,” says Mokatsane, who was previously CEO at Klerksdorp/ Tshepong Hospital before stepping in the DGG role in September last year. 

He sounds assured, but many physicians in his province are unconvinced that a turnaround is imminent. And for people like Tendai who goes home from the pharmacy empty-handed, his words a difficult to believe. 

*Full name withheld

Note: In this article, four different medical doctors are quoted anonymously. While Spotlight generally avoids making use of unnamed sources, we make exceptions where we consider the fears expressed by the sources to be valid, the information provided to be reliable, and the publication of the information to clearly be in the public interest.

This article was produced by SPOTLIGHT – health journalism in the public interest. SIGN UP for our newsletter.

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Can copying your friends help you achieve your goals?

Consumers often struggle to achieve self-set life improvement goals, but what if deliberately emulating the successful strategies used by their friends could help them?

A new paper published in the Journal of the Association for Consumer Research shows that encouraging people to find and mimic exercise strategies used by their friends increases the amount of time people spent exercising relative to receiving an exercise strategy passively. In the study, Katie S. Mehr, Amanda E. Geiser, Katherine L. Milkman, and Angela L. Duckworth introduce the “copy-paste prompt,” a nudge that encourages consumers to seek out and mimic a goal-achievement strategy used by an acquaintance.

Copy-paste prompts “are easy to implement, virtually costless, and widely applicable with the potential to improve outcomes ranging from healthy eating to academic success,” the authors write in “Copy-Paste-Prompts: A New Nudge to Promote Goal Achievement.”

Copy-paste prompts may be more effective than other methods for bolstering goal achievement for several reasons: behaviors are more appealing when learned from observation, plus learning from models increases both a person’s expectations of their own abilities and their likelihood of using information. However, consumers may not take full advantage of opportunities to observe and emulate others in their social network. In this case, copy-paste prompts may add value by helping consumers better take advantage of this resource. Plus, the information is more customized and goal relevant, since consumers select peers whose behavior they want to emulate.

In the authors’ longitudinal study, over 1,000 participants were asked how many hours they spent exercising in the last week and were randomly assigned to one of three conditions: the copy-paste prompt condition, a quasi-yoked control condition, or a simple control condition.

In the copy-paste prompt condition, participants read the following:

“In this study, we want to help you learn about an effective hack or strategy that someone you know uses as motivation to exercise. Over the next two days, we’d like you to pay attention to how people you know get themselves to work out. If you want, you can ask them directly for their motivational tips and strategies.”

In the quasi-yoked control condition, participants read the following:

“In this study, we’re hoping to help you learn about an effective hack or strategy that motivates people to exercise. Over the next two days, we’d like you to get ready to learn a new strategy to motivate you to exercise.”

The participants who received the copy-paste prompt spent more time exercising the following week than participants assigned to either a quasi-yoked or simple control condition. “The benefits of copy-paste prompts are mediated by the usefulness of the adopted exercise strategy, commitment to using it, effort put into finding it, and the frequency of social interaction with people who exercise regularly,” the authors write.

Looking ahead, the authors write, “It may be that once a consumer learns to copy-paste in one domain (e.g., exercise), she will be able to apply this technique in a way that improves many other outcomes (e.g., retirement savings).”

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