A quantum discovery that breaks the rules of heating

In everyday experience, applying repeated force almost always leads to heating. Rubbing your hands together warms your skin. Striking metal with a hammer makes it hot to the touch. Even without formal physics training, people quickly learn a basic rule: when you keep driving a system by stirring it, pressing it, or hitting it, its temperature rises.

Physicists expect the same behavior at much smaller scales. In quantum systems made up of many interacting particles, continuous excitation is normally assumed to cause steady energy absorption. As energy builds up, the system should heat. But a recent experiment suggests that this intuition does not always apply at the quantum level.

Researchers from Hanns Christoph Nägerl’s group at the Department of Experimental Physics at the University of Innsbruck set out to test whether a strongly driven quantum system must inevitably heat up. Their answer was unexpected.

A Quantum Gas That Stops Absorbing Energy

The team created a one dimensional quantum fluid made of strongly interacting atoms cooled to just a few nanokelvin above absolute zero. Using laser light, they subjected the atoms to a lattice potential that switched on and off rapidly and repeatedly. This setup created a regularly pulsed environment that effectively kicked the atoms over and over again.

Under these conditions, the atoms should have absorbed energy continuously, similar to how motion builds on a trampoline when someone keeps jumping. Instead, the researchers saw a surprising change. After a short initial period, the spread of the atoms’ momentum came to a halt. The system’s kinetic energy stopped increasing and leveled off.

Even though the atoms were still being driven and continued to interact strongly with one another, they no longer absorbed energy. The system had entered a state known as many body dynamical localization (MBDL). In this state, motion becomes locked in momentum space rather than spreading freely.

“In this state, quantum coherence and many-body entanglement prevent the system from thermalizing and from showing diffusive behavior, even under sustained external driving,” explains Hanns Christoph Nägerl. “The momentum distribution essentially freezes and retains whatever structure it has.”

An Orderly Outcome That Defied Expectations

The result surprised even the scientists involved. Lead author Yanliang Guo admitted the behavior ran counter to what they had predicted. “We had initially expected that the atoms would start flying all around. Instead, they behaved in an amazingly orderly manner.”

Lei Ying, a theory collaborator from Zhejing University in Hangzhou, China, shared that reaction. “This is not to our naïve expectation. What’s striking is the fact that in a strongly driven and strongly interacting system, many-body coherence can evidently halt energy absorption. This goes against our classical intuition and reveals a remarkable stability rooted in quantum mechanics.”

Ying also pointed out that recreating this behavior using classical computer simulations is extremely challenging. “That’s why we need experiments. They go hand in hand with our theory simulations.”

Why Quantum Coherence Matters

To see how robust this unusual state really was, the researchers altered the experiment by adding randomness to the driving sequence. The effect was immediate. Even a small amount of disorder was enough to destroy the localization.

Once coherence was disrupted, the atoms behaved more conventionally. Their momentum spread out again, kinetic energy increased rapidly, and the system resumed absorbing energy without limit. “This test highlighted that quantum coherence is crucial for preventing thermalization in such driven many-body systems,” says Nägerl.

Implications for Future Quantum Technologies

The discovery of MBDL has implications that extend well beyond basic physics. Preventing unwanted heating is one of the biggest challenges facing the development of quantum simulators and quantum computers. These devices rely on maintaining delicate quantum states that can easily be lost through energy buildup and decoherence.

“This experiment provides a precise and highly tunable way for exploring how quantum systems can resist the pull of chaos,” says Guo. By showing that heating can be halted entirely under the right conditions, the findings challenge long held assumptions about how driven quantum matter behaves.

The study opens new paths for understanding how quantum systems can remain stable even when pushed far from equilibrium.

The research has been published in Science and received financial support from the Austrian Science Fund FWF, the Austrian Research Promotion Agency FFG, and the European Union, among others.

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Flu on the rise again after Christmas mixing, says NHS

Cases up after two weeks of decline, as hospitals report rise in slips and falls because of cold snap.

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Just 10 minutes of exercise can trigger powerful anti-cancer effects

As people return to gyms or start new fitness routines in the new year, new research suggests that even a short burst of intense exercise could play a role in protecting against cancer. Scientists report that as little as 10 minutes of hard physical activity may help slow cancer growth.

The study found that brief, vigorous exercise quickly changes the mix of molecules circulating in the bloodstream. These rapid shifts appear to suppress bowel cancer cell growth while also speeding up the repair of damaged DNA.

How Exercise Changes the Bloodstream

Researchers at Newcastle University discovered that exercise raises the levels of several small molecules in the blood. Many of these molecules are known to reduce inflammation, support healthy blood vessels, and improve metabolism.

When scientists exposed bowel cancer cells in the lab to blood containing these exercise-driven molecules, they observed widespread genetic changes. More than 1,300 genes shifted their activity, including genes involved in DNA repair, energy production, and cancer cell growth.

Published in the International Journal of Cancer, the findings help clarify how physical activity may lower bowel cancer risk. The research shows that exercise sends molecular signals through the bloodstream that influence genes controlling tumor growth and genetic stability.

The results add to growing evidence that staying physically active is an important part of cancer prevention.

New Possibilities for Cancer Treatment

Dr. Sam Orange, Senior Lecturer in Clinical Exercise Physiology at Newcastle University and lead author of the study, said: “What’s remarkable is that exercise doesn’t just benefit healthy tissues, it sends powerful signals through the bloodstream that can directly influence thousands of genes in cancer cells.

“It’s an exciting insight because it opens the door to find ways that mimic or augment the biological effects of exercise, potentially improving cancer treatment and, crucially, patient outcomes.

“In the future, these insights could lead to new therapies that imitate the beneficial effects of exercise on how cells repair damaged DNA and use fuel for energy.”

Slowing Cancer Growth at the Cellular Level

The research team found that exercise increased the activity of genes that support mitochondrial energy metabolism. This helps cells use oxygen more efficiently.

At the same time, genes linked to rapid cell division were turned down, which may make cancer cells less aggressive. Blood collected after exercise also boosted DNA repair, activating a key repair gene known as PNKP.

The study included 30 volunteers, both men and women between the ages of 50 and 78. All participants were overweight or obese (a risk factor of cancer) but otherwise healthy.

Each volunteer completed a short but intense cycling test that lasted about 10 minutes. Researchers then collected blood samples and examined 249 proteins. Thirteen of those proteins increased after exercise, including interleukin-6 (IL-6), which plays a role in repairing damaged DNA.

Why Even One Workout Matters

Dr. Orange, a Clinical Exercise Physiologist at The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, said: “These results suggest that exercise doesn’t just benefit healthy tissues, it may also create a more hostile environment for cancer cells to grow.

“Even a single workout can make a difference. One bout of exercise, lasting just 10 minutes, sends powerful signals to the body.

“It’s a reminder that every step, every session, counts when it comes to doing your best to protect your health.”

Bowel Cancer Rates and Physical Activity

Bowel cancer is the 4th most common cancer in the UK, after breast, prostate and lung cancer.

In the UK, one person is diagnosed with bowel cancer every 12 minutes, adding up to nearly 44,000 cases each year. Someone dies from the disease every 30 minutes.

Researchers estimate that regular physical activity lowers bowel cancer risk by about 20%. Exercise does not have to mean gym workouts or sports. Walking or biking to work, along with everyday activities such as gardening or cleaning, can also contribute.

Looking ahead, the research team plans to examine whether repeated exercise sessions lead to long-lasting biological changes. They also aim to study how exercise-related effects interact with common cancer treatments such as chemotherapy and radiotherapy.

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Engage 18: Stretch Goals Reshape Your Identity

Lesson 18 of the free Engage course explores how stretch goals can serve as catalysts for inner growth rather than pressure-filled achievements. You’ll learn how to approach ambitious goals by expanding your identity, working through internal limitations, and becoming someone who can step into those experiences with confidence and ease.

You’ll find the rest of the Engage course videos in the Video section.

Join the Engage Email List

Join the Engage notification list to get an email whenever a new Engage lesson is published. I also encourage you to subscribe to my YouTube channel to follow the course there.

Enjoy!

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People who come off slimming jabs regain weight four times faster than dieters

Overweight people shed large amounts on jabs but gain 0.8 kg a month on average once off them, study shows.

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Starmer Says The UK Will Send Troops To Ukraine If There’s A Peace Deal. So What Happens Now?

Keir Starmer has promised to send British troops into Ukraine in the event of a peace deal with Russia – but what does that really mean?

The prime minister proudly revealed on Tuesday that he and the French president Emmanuel Macron had signed a written agreement with Ukraine to deploy their own soldiers to the war-torn country, in a bid to help protect it if a peace agreement is reached.

The pledge appeared to encourage the US to finally offer its own military efforts to help “deter” any future aggression against Ukraine and defend against any other attacks.

While these are all promising words, what does this mean in practice?

What did Starmer and Macron say?

The two world leaders signed a “declaration of intent” at a Coalition of the Willing meeting on Tuesday, promising to send troops in the event of a peace deal.

Starmer said it “paves the way for legal framework under which British, French and partner forces could operate on Ukrainian soil”.

He said: “Following a ceasefire, the UK and France will establish military hubs across Ukraine and build protected facilities for weapons of military equipment to support Ukraine’s defensive needs.”

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy welcomed it as a “huge step forward”.

The wider Coalition of the Willing – a group of more than 30 nations dedicated to supporting Ukraine in the face of Russia’s aggression – also committed to a “multinational force for Ukraine” from willing nations.

This would support deterrence and rebuilding Ukraine’s armed forces during a ceasefire.

Could a deployment happen any time soon?

That all depends on the progress of a peace deal – and if US security promises hold.

Putin is yet to respond to the these developments, and he could easily dismiss any peace deal which involves European troops moving into Ukraine.

That would slow down the grinding progress the US team has been make with its 20-point plan to end the conflict.

But it seems pretty unlikely any deal is going to get over the line any time soon.

Putin has been dragging his feet over any kind of compromise for months and sticking to his maximalist goals in Ukraine.

He rejected Western proposals for a “reassurance force” in Ukraine back in September, warning any troops deployed to Ukraine would be “legitimate targets”.

Will there be a Commons vote on potential deployment?

Starmer opened prime minister’s questions on Wednesday by reassuring MPs the matter would put to the Commons before any troops are deployed to Ukraine.

MPs could, of course, vote against such a move, considering the UK’s economy is already struggling and its military is pretty depleted.

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has already made it clear he would vote against such a motion.

He told Times Radio: “I would vote against. We neither have the manpower nor the equipment to go into an operation which clearly has no end in timeline.”

No.10 was also unable to tell reporters what would happen if MPs failed to vote in favour of deploying troops.

Neither the prime minister’s press secretary nor his official spokesperson said if the government would be bound by a similar vote by MPs.

This happened before, such as when David Cameron lost a vote on military action in Syria in August 2013.

Starmer’s spokesperson said: “I think the point is, until we’ve secured the cessation of hostilities, our planning teams are focused on ensuring the coalition of the willing is able to flex to the requirements of any peace deal and ensure Ukraine’s armed forces are able to regenerate, to defend Ukraine, and support European security for generations to come.

“So it is a staged process.”

What else do we know about this plan?

The government has revealed very few details and is yet to give a statement to the Commons on the process.

Starmer’s press secretary insisted ministers will speak to the House at the “earliest opportunity” and updated MPs on Starmer’s part in the peacekeeping talks in Paris.

But it remains unclear how many troops would be provided, if the UK would match the same number as France, if other European states might get involved and what those soldiers would actually do when on the ground.

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Critics Slam Jennifer Lopez Over These Spicy Outfits – And There’s A Reason Why They’re So Bothered

Jennifer Lopez’s highly anticipated residency in Las Vegas recently came to an end, but not without renewed attacks from her critics who remain vocal in their opposition to how the pop star dresses.

The Jenny from the Block singer kicked off her “Up All Night Live in Las Vegas” residency at the Colosseum at Caesars Palace on Dec. 30, 2025, and performed the final show on Saturday. She’s set to return to the Colosseum with several dates in March.

While many fans of Lopez across social media celebrated her recent Las Vegas performances and her looks onstage, some critics online took the opportunity to level all-too-familiar digs at the singer and actor: that the 56-year-old performer – whose Las Vegas costumes included bodysuits, bikinis and sheer catsuits – was apparently not dressing for her age … whatever that means.

Lopez has long faced scrutiny for how she dresses. Last July, right-wing pundit Megyn Kelly ripped Lopez for wearing a thong bodysuit during a performance onstage, calling Lopez a “soft porn star” during an episode of her podcast, The Megyn Kelly Show.

“She’s 55 years old, and she hasn’t come to grips with the fact that she’s not a sex symbol anymore,” Kelly said at the time. She had also criticised Lopez the year prior, saying Lopez was “past her prime”.

Lopez clapped back at the hate she receives over her clothing choices during her residency in Las Vegas, saying at one point onstage: “I do laugh at some of the things [people say online] sometimes, because they do say funny things, too.”

″‘Why is she always dressed that way? Why don’t she dress her age?’ – I’m like, ‘Huh?’ ‘Why’s she always naked?’” she continued. “And I say, ’If you had this body, you’d be naked, too!” she added as the crowd cheered.

Monica Cwynar, a licensed clinical social worker with Thriveworks who specialises in trauma and coping skills, said she believes the attacks against Lopez and how she chooses to dress are “rooted in societal perceptions of ageing, particularly for women”.

And there’s a reason behind it.

“Many people hold ingrained beliefs about how women should physically present themselves as they age,” Cwynar told HuffPost. “Partly because of a perception that desirability should dwindle as we age.”

“It stems from the same place that people don’t want to think of their parents or grandparents as sexual people,” she continued. “Because of that, there is a cultural expectation that women should adopt more conservative or demure attire as they get older.”

Cwynar emphasised that Lopez is an entertainer and that her personal expression and her body autonomy is “hers to display how she sees fit”.

“Women like Jennifer challenging those stereotypes can lead to backlash as it forces people to confront their own biases about age, femininity, and sexuality,” she said.

Jennifer Lopez photographed performing during her Las Vegas residency at The Colosseum at Caesars Palace on December 30, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Denise Truscello via Getty Images

Jennifer Lopez photographed performing during her Las Vegas residency at The Colosseum at Caesars Palace on December 30, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Societal norms have historically regulated women’s bodies – but there are ways to push back against criticism about your choices

“Historically, women’s bodies have been objectified and regulated by societal norms, leading to a policing mentality regarding female sexuality,” Cwynar said, adding that society has long asked women to dress in a way “that makes others feel more comfortable”.

Cwynar emphasised that there are societal double standards regarding the expectations for how celebrities should dress.

“When Brad Pitt, who is close in age to Jennifer Lopez, has his shirt off, no one seems to have a problem with that – in fact, it’s likely to be celebrated,” she said, adding, “We often allow men greater freedom in their self-expression.”

And Cwynar thought that Lopez’s response to her critics was “proof of her empowerment and agency” and that the singer emphasised that she “finds joy in her body at 56, encouraging a more inclusive perspective on beauty standards”.

And for any woman navigating criticism about their choices as they age, Cwynar recommends that you embrace your individuality and ignore the noise.

“Recognise that value and beauty come in many forms and that self-confidence can be empowering and extremely sexy. Engaging in practices that promote body positivity can foster a greater sense of peace with oneself,” she said.

She also recommends finding people and community that allow you to “be yourself and celebrate diversity and uniqueness.”

And when it’s appropriate, it may be helpful to engage your critics. “Share your perspective and the importance of individual expression and agency,” she said.

Overall, Cwynar said that it’s important to emphasise personal satisfaction over external validation.

“This is your life and you need to live it in a way that makes you happy, so dress in whatever makes you feel great.”

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Nigel Farage Insists Racism Allegations Against Him Will ‘Go Away’

Nigel Farage has insisted the racism and antisemitism allegations against him will “go away” if he ever gets into No.10.

The Reform UK leader has been accused of referring to the Holocaust by saying “Hitler was right” and “gas them” to at least one Jewish pupil when he was studying at Dulwich College.

Farage has denied the allegations and repeatedly pointed out they occurred around 49 years ago.

The Guardian first reported on the fresh claims against the politician in November – but, on Times Radio on Wednesday, the MP for Clacton insisted the claims will “go away” in time.

“Once one person says something, you’ve got safety in numbers, you can say what you like. I deny it,” he began.

When Times Radio host Hugo Rifkind said there had been criticism from within the Jewish community that Farage had not taken the allegations seriously, the Reform UK leader said: “I don’t take lies seriously. No, I never have.”

He claimed he has been more scrutinised than anyone else in mainstream politics, and that he does not believe anything said by other party leaders said “nearly half a century ago” would come under this level of scrutiny.

Rifkind said: “You can either deny it or you can say it doesn’t matter because it was so long ago.

“The point is, these aren’t going to go away if and when you are prime minister –”

“Oh, they will go away,” Farage cut in. “Because they’re not true. they can’t be proved. And we’ve got more important things to talk about that what people did aged 13.”

Farage was also asked by ITV News today if he would apologise to those who have reported the allegations.

He said: “I don’t apologise for things that are completely made up fantasies. Some of what I heard was just absolute nonsense by people with – if you looked – absolutely obvious political motivations.”

Reform have led onto their steady lead in the opinion polls even after the Guardian’s story broke.

Farage even claimed last week that the claims against him could be boosting his party by “solidifying our core support”.

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This weight loss option beats Ozempic by 5 times

A new real-world comparison finds that bariatric surgery leads to dramatically more weight loss than popular injectable medications. After two years, people who underwent sleeve gastrectomy or gastric bypass lost about five times more weight than those using weekly GLP-1 receptor agonists such as semaglutide or tirzepatide,* according to research presented at the American Society for Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery (ASMBS) 2025 Annual Scientific Meeting.

The study, conducted by researchers at NYU Langone Health and NYC Health + Hospitals, showed that surgery patients lost an average of 58 pounds over two years. In contrast, patients who were prescribed a GLP-1 drug for at least six months lost about 12 pounds. That translates to 24% total weight loss for surgery patients compared with 4.7% for those using medication. Even among patients who stayed on GLP-1 therapy continuously for a full year, average weight loss reached only 7%, still far below the results seen with surgery.

Real-World Results Fall Short of Clinical Trials

“Clinical trials show weight loss between 15% to 21% for GLP-1s, but this study suggests that weight loss in the real world is considerably lower even for patients who have active prescriptions for an entire year. We know as many as 70% of patients may discontinue treatment within one year,” said lead author Avery Brown, MD, a surgical resident at NYU Langone Health. “GLP-1 patients may need to adjust their expectations, adhere more closely to treatment or opt for metabolic and bariatric surgery to achieve desired results.”

The findings highlight a key gap between controlled clinical trials and everyday use, where side effects, costs, and long-term adherence can limit the effectiveness of medication-based weight loss.

How the Study Compared Surgery and GLP-1 Medications

Researchers analyzed electronic medical record data from patients treated between 2018 and 2024 within the NYU Langone Health and NYC Health + Hospitals systems. All participants had a body mass index (BMI) of at least 35 and either underwent bariatric surgery (sleeve gastrectomy or Roux en-Y gastric bypass) or received a prescription for injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide.

After adjusting for factors such as age, BMI, and co-morbidities using average treatment effect weighting, the team compared outcomes for 51,085 patients across both groups. The study was supported by NYU CTSA grant KL2 TR001446 from the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences at the National Institutes of Health (NIH).

Future Research and Treatment Decisions

“In future studies we will aim to identify what healthcare providers can do to optimize GLP-1 outcomes, identify which patients are better treated with bariatric surgery versus GLP-1s, and determine the role out-of-pocket costs play in treatment success,” said senior author Karan R. Chhabra, MD, MSc, a bariatric surgeon and Assistant Professor of Surgery and Population Health at NYU Grossman School of Medicine.

GLP-1 drugs have gained widespread attention, with about 12% of Americans reporting they have taken one at some point and 6% saying they currently use them. However, persistence remains a major challenge. Recent research shows that 53.6% of patients with overweight or obesity stop GLP-1 therapy within one year (53.6%), and that figure rises to 72.2% by two years.

At the same time, bariatric surgery remains underused. According to the ASMBS, more than 270,000 metabolic and bariatric procedures were performed in 2023, representing only about 1% of people who meet BMI eligibility criteria.

“While both patient groups lose weight, metabolic and bariatric surgery is much more effective and durable,” said ASMBS President Ann M. Rogers, MD, FACS, FASMBS, who was not involved in the study. “Those who get insufficient weight loss with GLP-1s or have challenges complying with treatment due to side effects or costs, should consider bariatric surgery as an option or even in combination.”

Obesity Remains a Major Health Challenge

According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), obesity affects 40.3% of adults in the United States, while severe obesity impacts 9.4%. Research shows obesity can impair immune function, drive chronic inflammation, and raise the risk of many serious conditions, including cardiovascular disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes, and certain cancers.

*Semaglutide is the active ingredient in Ozempic and Wegovy and tirzepatide is the active ingredient in Zepbound and Mounjaro.

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A global cancer surge is underway and the world is not ready

Cancer cases are exploding worldwide — and nearly half of the deaths could be prevented with better prevention, early detection, and access to care.

  • New cancer cases worldwide have more than doubled since 1990, reaching 18.5 million in 2023. Over the same period, annual cancer deaths rose by 74 percent to 10.4 million (both excluding non-melanoma skin cancers), with most cases now occurring in low- and middle-income countries.
  • More than 40 percent of cancer deaths globally are linked to 44 modifiable risk factors, including tobacco use, unhealthy diets, and high blood sugar. This means a large share of cancer deaths could be prevented through proven public health measures.
  • Looking ahead, researchers predict global cancer cases will increase by 61 percent over the next 25 years, reaching 30.5 million new diagnoses a year by 2050. Annual cancer deaths are forecast to rise by nearly 75 percent to 18.6 million, largely driven by population growth and aging populations.
  • While age-adjusted cancer death rates have declined worldwide, this progress has not reached everyone. In several low- and middle-income countries, both cancer rates and total deaths continue to rise.
  • The researchers stress that responding to this growing cancer burden will require stronger action from governments and policymakers, including expanded prevention efforts, earlier diagnosis, and better access to effective treatment at national, regional, and global levels.

A Rapid Global Rise in Cancer

The global burden of cancer has grown dramatically over the past three decades. Since 1990, the number of newly diagnosed cancer cases worldwide has more than doubled, reaching 18.5 million in 2023. Over the same period, annual cancer deaths rose by 74 percent to 10.4 million (both excluding non-melanoma skin cancers). Most of those affected now live in low- and middle-income countries.

A significant share of this burden is linked to preventable causes. More than 40 percent of cancer deaths worldwide are associated with 44 modifiable risk factors, including tobacco use, poor diet, and high blood sugar. This connection highlights major opportunities to reduce cancer deaths through prevention.

Looking ahead, researchers project that new cancer cases will climb another 61 percent over the next 25 years, reaching 30.5 million annually by 2050. Cancer deaths are forecast to rise by nearly 75 percent over the same period, reaching 18.6 million per year. These increases are largely driven by population growth and the continued aging of populations worldwide.

While age-adjusted global cancer death rates have declined overall, this progress has not been evenly shared. In several low- and middle-income countries, both the number of cancer deaths and the rates themselves are still increasing. The authors stress that meeting this growing challenge will require stronger efforts from governments and policymakers to prevent cancer, expand early diagnosis, and improve treatment access at national, regional, and global levels.

Projections Warn of a Growing Crisis

Between 1990 and 2023, global cancer cases and deaths rose sharply despite advances in treatment and expanded efforts to address cancer risk factors. Without urgent action and increased funding, researchers estimate that by 2050, 30.5 million people will receive a new cancer diagnosis each year and 18.6 million will die from the disease. More than half of new cases and nearly two-thirds of deaths are expected to occur in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), according to a major analysis by the Global Burden of Disease Study Cancer Collaborators published in The Lancet.

Although the total number of cancer cases and deaths is projected to increase significantly between 2024 and 2050, age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates are not expected to rise globally. This suggests that most of the growth in cancer burden will be driven by demographic changes rather than worsening individual risk.

Even so, the projected improvements fall well short of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) to cut premature deaths from non-communicable diseases, including cancer, by one-third by 2030.

Experts Call for Greater Global Action

“Cancer remains an important contributor to disease burden globally and our study highlights how it is anticipated to grow substantially over the coming decades, with disproportionate growth in countries with limited resources,” said lead author Dr. Lisa Force from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington, USA. “Despite the clear need for action, cancer control policies and implementation remain underprioritized in global health, and there is insufficient funding to address this challenge in many settings.”

She added, “Ensuring equitable cancer outcomes globally will require greater efforts to reduce disparities in health service delivery such as access to accurate and timely diagnosis, and quality treatment and supportive care.”

The analysis draws on data from population-based cancer registries, vital registration systems, and interviews with family members or caregivers of people who died from cancer. It provides updated global, regional, and national estimates covering 1990 to 2023 across 204 countries and territories, examining 47 cancer types or groupings and 44 attributable risk factors.[1] The study also projects the global cancer burden through 2050 and evaluates progress toward the UN SDG target for reducing non-communicable disease deaths between 2015 and 2030.

Uneven Cancer Burden Across Countries

In 2023, global cancer deaths reached 10.4 million, while new cases climbed to 18.5 million (both excluding non-melanoma skin cancers). Compared with 1990, this represents increases of 74 percent in deaths and 105 percent in new cases.

Despite an overall 24 percent decline in age-standardized cancer death rates worldwide between 1990 and 2023, this improvement has largely occurred in high- and upper-middle-income countries. In contrast, age-standardized cancer incidence increased by 24 percent in low-income countries and by 29 percent in lower-middle-income countries, highlighting growing disparities in regions with fewer resources (see table 1 in paper).

From 1990 to 2023, Lebanon recorded the largest percentage increase in age-standardized cancer incidence and mortality rates for both sexes combined. Over the same period, the United Arab Emirates experienced the greatest decline in age-standardized incidence, while Kazakhstan saw the largest decrease in age-standardized death rates.

Breast cancer was the most commonly diagnosed cancer worldwide in 2023 for both sexes combined. Tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer remained the leading cause of cancer deaths globally (see table 2 in paper).

Preventable Risks Drive Millions of Deaths

The study estimates that 42 percent (4.3 million) of the 10.4 million cancer deaths in 2023 were linked to 44 modifiable risk factors, pointing to significant opportunities for prevention.

Behavioral risk factors accounted for the largest share of cancer deaths across all income levels in 2023. Tobacco use alone contributed to 21 percent of cancer deaths worldwide. Tobacco was the leading risk factor in every income group except low-income countries, where unsafe sex was the primary risk factor, linked to 12.5 percent of cancer deaths.

Men were more likely than women to die from cancers associated with modifiable risks. In 2023, 46 percent of cancer deaths in men were linked to factors such as tobacco use, unhealthy diet, high alcohol consumption, occupational risks, and air pollution. Among women, 36 percent of cancer deaths were associated with modifiable risks, with tobacco, unsafe sex, unhealthy diet, obesity, and high blood sugar playing the largest roles (see appendix 2 table 6).

“With four in 10 cancer deaths linked to established risk factors, including tobacco, poor diet, and high blood sugar, there are tremendous opportunities for countries to target these risk factors, potentially preventing cases of cancer and saving lives, alongside improving accurate and early diagnosis and treatment to support individuals who develop cancer,” said co-author Dr. Theo Vos from IHME. “Reducing the burden of cancer across countries and worldwide demands both individual action and effective population-level approaches to reduce exposure to known risks.”

Equity and Prevention as Global Priorities

The researchers emphasize that cancer prevention must be integrated into health policies in LMICs and that equitable cancer control efforts are essential to ensure timely and effective care for all patients.

“The rise of cancer in LMICs is an impending disaster,” said co-author Dr. Meghnath Dhimal from the Nepal Health Research Council. “There are cost-effective interventions for cancer in countries at all stages of development. These cancer burden estimates can help broaden the discussion around the importance of cancer and other non-communicable diseases in the global health agenda. To control the growth of non-communicable diseases including cancer in LMICs, an interdisciplinary approach for evidence generation and multi-sectoral collaboration and coordination for implementation are urgently needed.”

Dr. Force noted that the findings can help guide future policy. “These new estimates and forecasts can support governments and the global health community in developing data informed policies and actions to improve cancer control and outcomes around the world. They can also support tracking of progress towards global and regional cancer targets.”

She added, “Our analysis also highlights the need for more data from sources such as cancer and vital registries, particularly in lower resource settings. Supporting cancer surveillance systems is crucial to informing both a local and global understanding of cancer burden.”

Study Limitations and Data Gaps

The authors acknowledge several limitations. The estimates rely on the best available data but are constrained by gaps in high-quality cancer data, especially in resource-limited countries. Current Global Burden of Disease estimates do not account for several infectious diseases known to increase cancer risk in some lower-income regions, including Helicobacter Pylori and Schistosoma haematobium, which may lead to underestimation of cancer deaths linked to modifiable risks.

The projections also do not incorporate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, recent conflicts, or future medical breakthroughs that could significantly alter cancer trends.

In a linked Comment, Dr. Qingwei Luo and Dr. David P Smith from The University of Sydney and Cancer Council NSW, who were not involved in the study, wrote: “To ensure meaningful progress in reducing the global cancer burden, it is imperative that governments prioritize funding, strengthen health systems, reduce inequalities, and invest in robust cancer control initiatives and research on prevention, intervention, and implementation — because the future of cancer control depends on decisive, collective action today.”

Notes

  1. Modifiable Risk Factors
    • Level 1: Behavioral, Environmental / Occupational, Metabolic
    • Level 2: Air pollution, Dietary risks, Drug use, High alcohol use, High body-mass index, High fasting plasma glucose, Low physical activity, Occupational risks, Other environmental risks, Tobacco, unsafe sex.
    • Level 3: Chewing tobacco, Diet high in processed meat, Diet high in red meat, Diet high in sodium, Diet low in calcium, Diet low in fibre, Diet low in fruits, Diet low in milk, Diet low in vegetables, Diet low in whole grains, Occupational carcinogens, Particulate matter pollution, Residential radon, Second-hand smoke, Smoking
    • Level 4: Ambient particulate matter pollution, Household air pollution from solid fuels, Occupational exposure to arsenic, Occupational exposure to asbestos, Occupational exposure to benzene, Occupational exposure to beryllium, Occupational exposure to cadmium, Occupational exposure to chromium, Occupational exposure to diesel engine exhaust, Occupational exposure to formaldehyde, Occupational exposure to nickel, Occupational exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, Occupational exposure to silica, Occupational exposure to sulfuric acid, Occupational exposure to trichloroethylene

The study was funded by the Gates Foundation, St Jude Children’s Research Hospital, and St Baldrick’s Foundation. It was conducted by the GBD 2023 Cancer Collaborators.

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